Trump dominates Haley and New Hampshire primary
Donald Trump's win in the New Hampshire primary caucuses marked a pivotal moment in the race for the 2024 presidential nomination.
Trump, won over 50% of the vote, solidifying his lead demonstrating major support within the Republican base.
Trump’s New Hampshire trouncing follows on from his earlier success in the Iowa caucuses, making him as always has been expected, the ‘only standout’ candidate and contender for the Republican nomination - setting the stage for a potential rematch with Joe Biden in the November 2024 general election.
That’s if Biden remains the Democrat nominee and the political manoeuvring within the Party to replace him with what Obama and party strategists perceive as a more palatable candidate to voters.
Leaked stories to US news networks about Obama’s discussions with Biden to step down, confirmation by the DOJ the Hunter Biden laptop is now real when previously sold as Russian disinformation and other noticeable signs, hint toward the likelihood Biden may not be running again.
But a lot must happen between now and August when the Democrats hold the Party’s Democratic convention.
The problem for the Democrats, is Vice President Kamala Harris, and how she’s moved on without being accused as racist and losing the ‘Black’ female vote.
Selling the idea to Harris to forego potentially being the first female president and the first black female president, will be a hard message to sell and an incredible act of self-sacrifice to fall on her sword for the good of the Party and America.
But for the Democrats, the desperation to retain office is not just about winning the election but maintain power and deny any blow back sure to follow of four years of corruption within Government that has destroyed the US.
The most likely scenario to take place is a ticket could of former First Lady Michelle Obama and California Governor, Gavin Newsom.
Replacing the only coloured woman with another appeases the female vote - especially when both candidates are miles apart in competency and credibility.
The problem however is, does Michelle Obama want to run, will she, and will Harris be selfless?
There’d have to be a significant financial inducement to sweeten the deal.
If the status quo remains, the Democrats know the 2024 election will be lost.
However, that’s an assumption based on Trump’s inability to beat an Obama-Newsom ticket.
Trump has shown his leadership and economic management is what Americans want, especially when the US is now in a crisis.
The first four years of Trump demonstrated Americans prospered under him than under Biden.
Trump’s Iowa and New Hampshire victories now have Democrat strategists scrambling - Trump’s formidable appeal is galvanising Democrat, Independent and undecided voters to vote for him.
Nikki Haley is the Democrats preferred nominee, but the New Hampshire primary didn’t go to plan, even though millions by billionaire donors were invested to bolster Haley’s campaign.
Trump however, Trump rained on Haley’s parade.
Haley, the former governor of South Carolina, is no match.
Despite her estimated 45% share of the vote in New Hampshire, she faces an uphill battle.
In Iowa caucuses she finished third and now trails Trump in New Hampshire, challenging her campaign's momentum.
Haley who has called for a debate with Trump has warned his nomination could lead to a Biden victory in November - the comment demonstrates political desperation to say anything and lie.
Trump's consecutive wins in both Iowa and New Hampshire are historically significant.
No Republican candidate has ever secured victories in these early primaries and failed to clinch the party's nomination - underscoring the importance of Trump's early successes influencing the strategies of other potential candidates within the party.
The upcoming South Carolina primary will be a crucial test for Haley.
Currently, Trump leads the polls in South Carolina, but the outcome will be indicative of the candidates' broader appeal within the party.
The primary will also provide insight into the effectiveness of Haley's campaign strategy in a state that is politically and demographically different to both Iowa and New Hampshire.